The Dawn of a New Era? How after the ChiCom Plague we will never go back again. Part 4

The Dawn of a New Era?  How after the ChiCom Plague we will never go back again – Part 4

This is the last in my series to discuss the paradigm shifts in our lives brought on by the ChiCom Plague.  (Please see Parts 1, 2 and 3 for more background).

Some of the paradigm shifts appear they will stay with us once the ChiCom Plague virus is thwarted (the ones in Bold are the ones I will address in this post, italic were already covered):

  • Accelerated Change on multiple Axis
  • Risk Analysis of Social Contacts
  • Risk Analysis of Group Meetings (Starving the Monkeys)
  • Travel vs Teleconference
  • Supply Chain Robustness
  • Distrust of the MSM and other public voices with an agenda
  • Increase in Personal Preparedness
  • Two-is-One, One-is-None mentality as the new norm
  • Unmaintainable generics vs Sustainable Brand options
  • Exotics vs Field-Maintainable Equipment
  • The Death of JIT (Just in Time) logistics
  • Education Reform
  • The Kennedy Reality (Ask not..)

Let’s do a final dig into the list:

Exotics vs Field-Maintainable Equipment

A corollary of the issues the ChiCom Plague has caused for no-name generics is the grief of trying to maintain exotic equipment over time. The XYZ-Ultra (insert your favorite product here) may be the bee’s knees but can you depend on the near artisan producer (and its suppliers/subcontractors) to be there when you need help, spare parts or technical support?

So your XYZ-Ultra Car might just be pushed to the back of the repair shop for months or even years while parts are sought, or your XYZ-Ultra Transceiver may sit for years waiting for someone to recreate the dream-machine super display module that failed on your unit.

On the flipside your bog-standard car and mainstream (preferably domestic) transceiver should be repairable on a regular short schedule. 

The Death of JIT (Just in Time) logistics

“Just in Time” just died. The fragileness of JIT is offset by JIT discipline. Suppliers had been willing to enter in to supply commitments with penalties if they missed their production-line-slot.

Well that isn’t going to happen without a much higher risk factor in the JIT supplied parts, and predictably enough of a premium that the costs of warehousing a reasonable buffer-supply will be less that the post-ChiCom Plague JIT premium.

JIT over long distances really will be a challenge, as the health of the shippers, clearance/ports as well as the producers will have to be considered.

Usually JIT is based on solo or very limited supplier relationships, and the new realities will require durability-through-redundant-suppliers which JIT struggles to embrace.

Education Reform

Many of the schools and universities that have closed may never reopen or may face a quick failure in the first year or so if they reopen.

Satellite campuses of large institutions may never reopen.

Classes that can be effectively delivered remotely will continue that way, despite future availability of classrooms.

The remote dependency on “competence testing” rather than arbitrary numbers of hours or other unsupportable requirements will continue.

Employers moving towards quality-testing looking for competence and potential rather than “sheepskin” diplomas will force the market to performance-based results. Nor will students be willing to take on the debt for anything that will not produce results.

The economic struggles of restarting the economy will put an end to the 4-5 year warehousing (and indoctrination) of the typical undergraduate program will be hard to afford both as a society and on an individual basis during the recovery. 

Many degrees will be recognized as “Non-Essential Person” degrees, and the up and coming will not settle for a NRP (non-role player) future. 

The Kennedy Reality (Ask not..)

As a young man my father gave me a copy of Profiles in Courage by JFK when I was too young to put the lessons into context or know enough about history to understand the significance.  I set the book aside, again too young.  But as I grew up it was with a s ingle phrase of JFK – the Ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your countryidealism I later learned was from his inauguration speech, that moved me and was a guidepost as I developed my life & lifestyle. 

It is those words that we need to embrace if we individually are unwilling to let the ChiCom Plague cripple our spirit.

In my next ChiCom Plague post I’ll cover specific Ham Radio thoughts on the Paradigm Shift the ChiCom Plague has been the catalyst for.


73

Steve
K9ZW

 

 

Tagged , , , , ,

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

%d bloggers like this: